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Talking about Biotech

This is for successful biotech investments

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FDA Trend Report: Lower bar in the neurology division and what it means for biotech investing $XBI $ALKS $ACAD $SRPT $NBIX $BIIB $AMLX

Posted by By biotechwarrior September 17, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
There is something happening at the neurology department at the FDA. AND IT IS A POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT FOR DRUG DEVELOPMENT IN A VERY HIGHLY DIFFICULT SEGMENT OF DRUG DEVELOPMENT: NEUROLOGY…
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Lumakras is a drug, but it won’t be a blockbuster drug – CodeBreak200 – what is the right pair trade from here?

Posted by By biotechwarrior September 12, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
ESMO has very exciting updates for investors And patients - cancer is something we look to conquer one day and every year, we are getting closer. One of key focus…
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$BMY – this deucra / Sotyktu approval changes profile of terminal value completely (bad for $AMGN)

Posted by By biotechwarrior September 10, 2022Posted inTalking about Biotech1 Comment
Key bear thesis on Bristol Myers Squibb had been massive loss of exclusivity problem - coming from Revlimid ($10bn franchise) and Eliquis ($6bn) franchise with no material pipeline asset to…
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4Q22 Biotech / Pharma investing outlook – negative overall, but some bright spots

Posted by By biotechwarrior September 10, 2022Posted inTalking about Biotech2 Comments
We are now just in front of 4Q22 at mid-September. 3Q22 saw great inflection for biotech after big drawdown in 2Q - many investors were caught off guard with this…
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3Q22 Biotech / pharma investing themes – for LONG investments

Posted by By biotechwarrior July 12, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
$XBI remains highly challenged on multiple fronts. First - there are too many companies/ assets chasing after same targets. Second - biotech management teams had been too fixated on prior…
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Chugai – a falling house whose lucky streak is now over after Actemra and Hemlibra

Posted by By biotechwarrior April 30, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
In pharmaceutical industry, there are not that many innovation powerhouses - it really is very difficult to develop an innovative drug that can have uses for multiple diseases. Innovation powerhouse…
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$XBI is no longer a good way to have exposure / to hedge biotech – single stock picking / shorting is more important than ever

Posted by By biotechwarrior April 24, 2022Posted inTalking about Biotech2 Comments
We are all aware of how bad $xbi (biotech ETF) has been over the past year. $XBI is flat over the past three years, down -30% over the past year,…
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Curious case of $AMRN’s special fish oil – my speculation on why Sarissa is interested

Posted by By biotechwarrior March 18, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
Amarin is an interesting company - they have a product called Vascepa, which is essentially highly purified fish oil - it is different from omega-3 fish oil that is readily…
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SORRY ASTELLAS – THAT HOT FLASH DRUG PROBABLY WON’T BE A $3-4BN PRODUCT (FEZOLINETANT)

Posted by By biotechwarrior March 8, 2022Posted inTalking about BiotechNo Comments
Among various therapeutic areas that many pharmaceutical companies are marketing their products, there are hot / high growth ones, like oncology, and there are areas that have turned out to…
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$PFE Comirnaty’s dominant market teaches us the importance of being first-to-market with strong execution

Posted by By biotechwarrior February 15, 2022Posted inTalking about Biotech3 Comments
Pfizer's 4Q21 earnings had a very interesting slide that showed the importance of being first-to-market - this shows why it is so important to be either FIRST-IN-CLASS OR BEST IN…
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Recent posts
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  • 2H23 Pharma/Biotech Outlook (Part. 1)
  • $RPRX: Curious case of insider activities at Royalty Pharma (CEO buying, but everyone else is selling)

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Former Biotech hedge fund analyst turned internet writer. Biotech can be fun and help with our FIRE plan. Still got a long way to go and wanted to share my journey. I am a Baker Brother wannabe. You can reach me at biotechwarrior@biotechforfire.tech
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